This is a good explanation of Turchin’s Structural-Demographic Analysis and the work of others it is based on.

 

SJWs, MGTOW & Structural Demographic Theory

Dark Age Theorist

SJWs can be seen as a counter-elite in the sense of Jack Goldstone’s Structural-Demographic Theory, while MGTOW provides a Malthusian negative check reducing population growth as would be expected for this stage of the demographic cycle.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xD7bKMgPW8Y

See attached Transcript PDF

 

 

Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History Kindle Edition

https://www.amazon.com/Ages-Discord-Structural-Demographic-Analysis-American-ebook/dp/B06XDLT2C5/ref=tmm_kin_swatch_0?_encoding=UTF8&qid=&sr=

Historical analysis shows that long spells of equitable prosperity and internal peace are succeeded by protracted periods of inequity, increasing misery, and political instability. These crisis periods—”Ages of Discord“—have recurred in societies throughout history.

https://www.google.com/search?kgmid=/g/11c2l9fb8r&hl=en-US&q=Ages+of+Discord:+A+Structural-demographic+Analysis+of+American+History&kgs=6b6e5a08f730073b&shndl=0&source=sh/x/kp/osrp&entrypoint=sh/x/kp/osrp

 

Review of Ages of Discord: A Structural-Demographic Analysis of American History (Peter Turchin)

Text of review and PDF version of the review  https://theworthyhouse.com/2020/01/10/ages-of-discord-a-structural-demographic-analysis-of-american-history-peter-turchin/

YouTube version https://youtu.be/GueU9qkWVg8

The Worthy House

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I am skeptical of the art of predicting the future based on the past, but Peter Turchin offers a compelling theory in this 2016 book—including predicting that 2020 will be a very bad year. (The written version of this review, in web, PDF, and ebook formats, can be found here: https://theworthyhouse.com/2020/01/10…) This and all narrations are offered with accurate closed captions (not auto-generated).

 “I am skeptical of those who predict the future by looking at the past. It’s not that history follows a random walk, like the stock market. Quite the contrary—it is easy to show certain patterns in history. But predicting how and when those patterns will yield any particular result in any given society seems like astrology. Peter Turchin, however, offers a very convincing, and very well-supported, tying of patterns to data. I’m still not sure it’s not astrology, but I’m half convinced. And this is a good book to read in January 2020—because right now is when Turchin predicts, in America, the swelling discord of the title.” . . . .

The reviewer seems to be a little nuts, however.

 

 

 

 

On anther subject:

When Money Dies: Deficit Spending, Devaluation and Hyperinflation in Weimar Germany (Adam Fergusson)

https://youtu.be/9OJfUdQ9U2w

 

The Worthy House

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Of the German hyperinflation of 1923, something much better understood now than it was then—but still an event with important lessons for our society today. (The written version of this review, in web, PDF, and ebook formats, can be found here: https://theworthyhouse.com/2020/06/15…)

 

This and all Worthy House narrations are offered with accurate closed captions (not auto-generated).

 

“Inflation, like most society-wide monetary happenings, is always complex and often incompletely grasped. At least this is true of its causes; of its effects, most of all its social effects, there is now little doubt. We learned much about inflation during the twentieth century, when the advent of permanent fiat money made hyperinflation possible for the first time. But as this book shows, the infamous German hyperinflation of 1923 was poorly understood by those who lived through it. And whatever we understand now, the past several years, and in particular the past few months, have demonstrated that we still often ignore what we know. When Money Dies shows what happens when reality reasserts itself. It’s not pretty.”